|Title||Quantifying how short-term environmental variation leads to long-term demographic responses to climate change|
|Publication Type||Journal Article|
|Year of Publication||2015|
|Journal||Journal of Ecology|
|Keywords||annual plants, Chihuahuan Desert, climate change, demography, intra-annual variability, missing data, plant–climate interactions|
1. Climate change is expected to alter not only year-to-year variation in climate but also aspects of within-year variation, such as the length of the intervals between rainfall events and the duration of heat waves. Yet we still have a poor understanding of how intra-annual climate variability and individual weather events alter key vital rates (e.g. individual growth, reproduction and survival) that in part determine population dynamics.